Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.658046 5.539472 6.518796 7.684231 9.029835 10.531048 12.328896
2025-08-03 3.364730 4.492477 5.873363 7.674797 9.947367 12.702304 16.275967
2025-08-10 2.467611 3.639551 5.197831 7.391663 10.365478 14.216447 19.533005
2025-08-17 1.879080 3.027315 4.668351 7.135082 10.687847 15.547410 22.606870
2025-08-24 1.527262 2.660669 4.386227 7.130616 11.291923 17.250507 26.278366
2025-08-31 1.269195 2.376514 4.162529 7.151092 11.894358 18.964478 30.074670
2025-09-07 1.050335 2.107772 3.909527 7.071567 12.307020 20.403195 33.554429
2025-09-14 0.837503 1.803196 3.541996 6.741409 12.263249 21.112850 35.953904
2025-09-21 0.710419 1.630271 3.370615 6.710049 12.687141 22.568136 39.600553
2025-09-28 0.605786 1.479098 3.212164 6.673279 13.084549 23.995317 43.288992
2025-10-05 0.567888 1.459292 3.298650 7.092869 14.317466 26.899724 49.603093
2025-10-12 0.513730 1.392460 3.280423 7.306419 15.190361 29.245478 55.126897
2025-10-19 0.474917 1.355679 3.323098 7.653685 16.362360 32.232839 62.018052
2025-10-26 0.412362 1.248274 3.198995 7.647162 16.858650 34.055319 67.006228
2025-11-02 0.340646 1.100274 2.959912 7.365783 16.781807 34.818336 70.147246
2025-11-09 0.282563 0.973673 2.747505 7.110250 16.723156 35.597962 73.354662
2025-11-16 0.247042 0.901755 2.653742 7.105876 17.178668 37.381940 78.530243
2025-11-23 0.217592 0.840354 2.575686 7.126313 17.685252 39.295757 84.065021
2025-11-30 0.187964 0.770255 2.462659 7.047039 17.963034 40.768575 88.834758
2025-12-07 0.153550 0.673733 2.260135 6.717896 17.644837 41.002530 91.182278
2025-12-14 0.134191 0.624026 2.179626 6.686633 18.002783 42.652915 96.444348
2025-12-21 0.117249 0.577988 2.101316 6.649978 18.342403 44.284163 101.759630
2025-12-28 0.114260 0.585884 2.187844 7.068279 19.810181 48.424343 112.455133